Prediction Markets Fundamentals, Designs, and Applications
by
 
Luckner, Stefan.

Title
Prediction Markets Fundamentals, Designs, and Applications

Author
Luckner, Stefan.

ISBN
9783834970855

Personal Author
Luckner, Stefan.

Publication Information
Wiesbaden : Gabler Verlag, 2012.

Physical Description
XIV, 140p. 29 illus. digital.

Abstract

Accurate predictions are essential in many areas such as corporate decision making, weather forecasting and technology forecasting. Prediction markets help to aggregate information and gain a better understanding of the future by leveraging the wisdom of the crowds. Trading prices in prediction markets thus reflect the traders’ aggregated expectations on the outcome of uncertain future events and can be used to predict the likelihood of these events. This book demonstrates that markets are accurate predictors. Results from several empirical studies reported in this work show the importance of designing such markets properly in order to derive valuable predictions. Therefore, the findings are valuable for designing future prediction markets.


Subject Term
Economics.
 
Economics/Management Science.
 
Business/Management Science, general.

Added Author
Schröder, Jan.
 
Slamka, Christian.
 
Franke, Markus.
 
Geyer-Schulz, Andreas.
 
Skiera, Bernd.
 
Spann, Martin.
 
Weinhardt, Christof.

Added Corporate Author
SpringerLink (Online service)

Electronic Access
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8349-7085-5


Shelf NumberItem BarcodeShelf LocationShelf LocationHolding Information
HF4999.2 -6182138035-1001E-LibraryE-Library