The nuclear tipping point : prospects for a world of many nuclear weapons states / Reconsidering a nuclear future : why countries might cross over to the other side / Will the abstainers reconsider? : focusing on individual cases / Egypt : frustrated but still on a non-nuclear course / Syria : can the myth be maintained without nukes? / Saudi Arabia : the calculations of uncertainty / Turkey : nuclear choices amongst dangerous neighbors / Germany : the model case, a historical imperative / Japan : thinking the unthinkable / South Korea : the tyranny of geography and the vexations of history / Taiwan's Hsin Chu program : deterrence, abandonment, and honor / Avoiding the tipping point : concluding observations